News

The Real State of Real Estate: Regional View

Alter Domus reviews the trends shaping office, logistics, retail, and real estate in the key US, European and Asia Pacific markets.


AD Market Map in Grey

After a challenging two years punctuated by rising interest rates and post-lockdown dislocation, there is cautious optimism among real estate investors and operators that markets are stabilizing.

As green shoots start to emerge, Alter Domus assesses and compares the key drivers of growth and investment opportunities across the US, European and Asia Pacific markets.


United States

AD Market NA Map

Even though interest rates in the US have not come down at the pace anticipated at the end of 2023, US real estate markets have enjoyed a sense of renewed confidence in 2024 as investors have built comfort on asset pricing and sought to resume capital deployment after stepping back from new deals in 2022 and 2023.


Office

Despite an improvement in overall sentiment across US real estate, the office sub-sector has remained challenging, with investors and operators not only having to adjust to a higher interest rate environment, but also the secular shift in office space demand following pandemic era lockdowns.

According to CBRE, tepid economic growth and the entrenchment of hybrid and homeworking have put the brakes on demand for office space and driven up vacancy rates. CBRE forecasts show vacancy rates climbing to almost 20% in 2024, with a survey of US office occupiers highlighting plans to reduce office space through the course of 2024.

Slowing demand has already filtered into new build activity, with Cushman and Wakefield figures showing that construction pipelines have fallen below 50 million square feet (MSF) – the lowest levels since 2013.

The US office real estate slowdown, however, is not universal, with certain locations and categories proving resilient and continuing to grow.

CBRE, for example, has observed steady growth in the Las Vegas market, where a business-friendly tax regime has attracted new companies and driven up office-using employment. Miami is another hot market, with asking rents showing year-on-year growth of around 6%, with the Nashville market also enjoying steady demand for office space.

Logistics

Demand for US logistics real estate has trended lower during the last 12 months, with Prologis analysis estimating demand at 195 million square feet at the end of 2023 – below the 490 million square feet of new space that became available as projects launched in 2022 reached completion.

Vacancy rates have also edged higher, but there is an expectation that vacancies will peak below long-term averages this year.

The continuing growth of global e-commerce sales, and ongoing efforts to “near-shore” supply chains in the face of rising geopolitical tensions, will support long-term rent growth, which although down from the levels observed at the peak of the market in 2022, has settled above pre-pandemic levels in North America, according to JLL.

Ongoing demand for sites that meet best practice ESG standards, and can support increasingly specialized warehouse picking and packing technology, are also set to spur ongoing investment.

Retail

The long-term secular shift to online shopping has continued to weigh on US retail space, with Colliers recording an increase of 10 basis points in US retail real estate vacancy rates in Q1 2024.

There is a growing sense, however, that the retail real estate space may have bottomed out, with supply-demand dynamics shifting back in favor of landlords, particularly for space in prime locations and high-end shopping malls.

According to JLL leasing rates have reached 35.1% in 2024, an improvement on rates for the prior 12 months. Demand for small spaces of less than 2,500 square feet has proven particularly robust, with casual dining and fast-food chains snapping up these smaller spaces.

Regionally, JLL has also noted strong growth in markets across the Sun Belt, where rising populations and strengthening buying power have supported steady demand for retail space.

Residential

US house prices have proven remarkably resilient through the rising interest rate cycle, and even though mortgage costs have increased, the National Association of Realtors anticipates that house prices will still edge higher by around 2.6% in 2024.

Apartment occupancy rates are also expected to remain robust and well-above the 90% threshold according to the CBRE.

Investors and developers, however, are taking the time to ensure that investment in additional residential real estate construction is targeted in the right areas, with demand bifurcating between different regions.

CBRE, for example, notes that rental growth and occupancy rates for multifamily real estate is expected to be strong in the Midwest, Northeast and urban centers of New York, Washington D.C. and Chicago, whereas the Mountain and Sun Belt regions, where supply-demand imbalances are less acute, will see softer demand and rent growth.


Europe

After a year of inflationary and interest rate headwinds, as well as weak economic growth, European real estate markets have stabilized in 2024. Even though the European Central Bank (ECB) did cut rates for the first time in almost five years in June, macroeconomic uncertainty continues to linger and drive a delta between buyer and seller valuation expectations, according to asset manager abrdn. But with the value of real estate assets relative to government bonds improving, a pathway back into the market is opening up for investors.


AD Market EMEA Map

Office

As has been the case in other regions the combination of a higher rate environment and increased homeworking post-COVID have proven challenging for office real estate in Europe.

According to abrdn, take up of European office space was down by almost 20% year-on-year in 2023, and some 16% off the long-term average.

The downswing in European real estate office space has not been universal, however, with demand for prime office in key locations continuing to show growth.

Prime office yields have rallied strongly from the lows of 3.2% seen at the trough of the market in the middle of June 2022, improving to 4.6% by the end of Q1 2024, according to BNP Paribas figures.

Logistics

The last 12 months have been a period of reset and recalibration for the European logistics sector after a red-hot period of activity immediately following the pandemic.

Weak economies across the region coupled with the topping out of online shopping growth have resulted in lower new build supply coming to market, as developers readjust to softer demand.

Rents, however, are still growing and according to CBRE are set to expand by 4% in 2024, which is well below the double-digit rent growth observed at the top of the market, but more in line normal run rates. Regional trends are also emerging, with CBRE anticipating that Italy, Germany and Spain will see the biggest jumps in rental growth in 2024.

Certain segments on the market are also performing better than others, with modern units that meet high ESG standards attracting more attractive rents than older sites in need of refurbishment. CBRE anticipates that widening gaps in rents will lead to a two-tier market.

Retail

The long-term secular headwinds challenging European retail real estate have shown little sign of abating, with abrdn recording an increase in shopping center vacancy rates to 12.7% by the end of 2023.

With the market at a low ebb, however, there are opportunities emerging to invest at attractive entry valuations. Retail real estate attracted just under a fifth of total real estate investment in Europe in 2023 – a meaningful increase that points to the potential value still on offer in the segment for investors.

Indeed, JLL notes that prime shopping center and retail park sites in Europe have continued to deliver attractive yields through the investment cycle, and outperformed other categories such as office and industrial assets. With corrections in rental rates having already worked through the market, there is also room for rental growth in the coming months and years.

Residential

Population growth in urban centers has provided a solid foundation for residential real estate in Europe’s capitals, with the CBRE forecasting a 3% rise the number of households in major European cities during the next five years.

These solid underlying fundamentals have made residential real estate one of the most resilient industry segments through the rising interest rate cycle, and while new rent regulations do pose risks for investors, vacancy rates in Europe’s top thirty cities have been low, and some cities have seen double-digit rent growth, according to abrdn. Limited new supply across Europe has supported rental growth and industry cashflows.

As has been the case on logistics, however, sustainability is a looming challenging for residential landlords and investors, who may have to make significant investments to upgrade existing housing stocks to meet higher emissions and environmental standards.

According to CBRE, the European Commission’s Energy Performance Buildings Directive (EPBD) demands that all homes across the EU will have to meet energy performance certificate ratings (EPC) of class E by 2030 and class D by 2033. At present, a quarter of European housing stock is below class E, with a further 49% below class D.

In addition to absorbing extra cots to upgrade properties, investors will also have to be alert to the risk of assets that are lagging on ESG being cast adrift as demand for ESG compliant properties grows.


Asia-Pacific

AD Market APAC Map

Asia-Pacific’s (APAC) real estate industry has felt the chill of rising interest rates in the US and Europe, and has also had to manage the fallout from a liquidity crisis in the core Chinese real estate sector, which has seen once blue-chip developers fall into default and liquidation, with severe knock affects for investors and the wider economy.




Office
Macro-economic headwinds have taken a heavy toll on APAC’s office market, with average prime rates falling to 3.2% year-on-year in Q1 2024. According to Knight & Frank this represents the seventh consecutive quarter of declining rates. China’s tier-1 cities have been in the frontline of for the downswing, but few APAC jurisdictions have been insulated, with Singapore, Melbourne, Sydney and Tokyo all suffering rental rate declines, according to abrdn.

Prime office sites in Seoul have bucked the trend, with sustained demand keeping a lid on vacancy rates, while in Australia investors are still deploying capital in selected prime office assets. Overall, however, the market is set to remain challenging, with Knight & Frank forecasting that vacancies will continue to edge higher as new supply continues to flood the market.

Logistics

Logistics real estate has been an indirect beneficiary of the tough conditions facing the office segment, with international investors shifting allocations away from office and into logistics.

According to CBRE, logistics leasing in China has held up well, with international e-commerce businesses, third-party logistics (3PL) providers and manufacturers all supporting demand. 3PLs and e-commerce companies have also sustained demand in Korean market, although an oversupply of space has kept vacancy rates elevated. Occupiers are, however, pivoting towards shorter leases in the face of macro-economic risk.

The broadly stable backdrop has supported healthy demand for logistics space across APAC overall, with Savills reporting year-on-year increases of more than 20% in logistics and industrial real estate absorption rates (the amount of space leased less the amount of space vacated).

Retail

Retail has been another bright spot in APAC real estate markets, with abrdn reporting year-on-year rental growth of close to 6% at the back end of 2023.

Momentum from the lifting of lockdowns and the reopening of tourism has supported the retail segment, and the outlook for leasing pipelines is positive, with a CBRE industry survey showing that two-thirds of retail brokers are reporting increases in leasing enquiries and site viewings.

The market is, however, splitting into two tiers. In Hong Kong, for example, demand for prime locations and tier 1 high streets has been strong, according to CBRE, whereas sites that fall outside these locations are encountering high vacancy rates.

Residential

Growth in urban populations is set to carry APAC residential markets through near-term headwinds, with long-term housing demand in cities boosted by forecasts that 19 cities in APAC will have populations of 10 million or more by 2030, according to Knight Frank analysis.

The favorable long-term demographics buoying residential real estate have shielded valuations from wider market dislocation, with Knight Frank reporting dips in pricing of less than 1%.

These solid fundamentals present an attractive mix of investment opportunities for, according to abrdn, ranging from hotel-to-rental apartment conversions in China to multifamily opportunities in Japan’s largest cities.

Key contacts

Anita Lyse

Anita Lyse

Luxembourg

Global Sector Head, Real Assets

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A reckoning for real estate debt: bracing for refinancing 

Billions of dollars of real estate debt will mature in the next 12–36 months and must be refinanced at much higher costs. 


architecture modern curves

Now that we’ve set the scene for the current deal environment and fundraising conditions that real estate asset managers are encountering, we turn our attention to another real estate trend shaping these fund managers’ challenges and opportunities: the specter of refinancing 

With the outlook for real estate deal activity and fundraising improving, the biggest financial challenge facing real estate investors in the coming quarters will be refinancing. 

Billions of dollars of real estate debt – issued at bargain-basement rates at the peak of the credit cycle in 2021 – will mature in the next 12–36 months and must be refinanced at much higher costs. 

According to Morgan Stanley analysts more than US$1.5 trillion of commercial real estate debt falls due for repayment before 2025. The delta between office and retail property valuations at the top and bottom of the market could be as wide at 40 percent, according to Morgan Stanley, resulting in heightened risk of default across the sector. 

In this article, we explore the challenges real estate asset managers face as a result and the resources they can seek out to help mitigate the impacts. 

The road from low rates to daunting refinancing

As interest rates hit new lows in 2021 in reaction to a Covid-rattled economy, real estate managers saw their investment target options open up. 

Alongside the boon for real estate, private debt strategies experienced a rush from managers and investors eager to take part in the attractive terms. Real estate debt wasn’t left out of that equation. Managers with pure real estate strategies hurried to stand up debt strategy arms to meet soaring investor demand while those already raising real estate debt funds basked in the rush on their fundraising efforts.  

Now, three years down the line, real estate managers and real estate debt managers alike are staring down the maturities of their loans. 

Banks and capital markets are not completely shut, and there will be liquidity available to refinancing these debt maturities, but with interest rates settling at elevated levels relative to the last five years, interest rate coverage ratios could be a factor in determining whether senior loan and bond lenders will be able to fully refinance maturing debt facilities. 

This could open up opportunities for junior capital providers to gain traction in capital structures, with mezzanine and preferred equity as some of the solutions that real estate companies could turn to when topping up capital structures. 

As in the fundraising space, the upcoming refinancing wall could also lead to a split in the market between haves and have nots. Real estate borrowers in resilient sub-sectors that exercised restraint at the peak of the credit cycle should find refinancing relatively straightforward.  

As one example of a resilient subsector, also mentioned in our previous article, the data center real estate market continues to perform, especially as we increasingly integrate AI and machine learning features into our daily lives and create a greater need for physical computing space to power that demand. 

Borrowers that took on leverage too aggressively and are in weaker performing real estate sub-sectors will find it much more difficult and could encounter financial stress and distress. For example, many employers are still allowing for hybrid or fully remote work post-pandemic, and the office building sub-sector is still under close watch by the industry for fear of a crisis when these loans come due. Rebound rates can vary vastly city by city. 

Arm your firm with resources and industry expertise

In a long game like real estate investing, we all know there will be times of feast and times of famine. Real estate managers can’t control the macroeconomic factors – only the way in which they run their funds, select their investments, create value, and manage risk. 

When facing headwinds like the impending wall of real estate debt maturities we find ourselves with now, it’s essential to focus on the operational elements that are under a firm’s control. In getting back-office operations in order, funds can free up their teams to focus on value-added activities rather than getting bogged down in the administrative and technical challenges that come with managing a complex portfolio of properties. 

Alter Domus has guided real estate managers through multiple cycles of the market over the last two decades. We’re prepared to help you operate through this challenging credit market with your choice of service model – outsourcing, co-sourcing, and lift-outs – as well as full back-office services including fund accounting, loan servicing, transfer agency, and far more. 

Ready to empower your staff to outsource challenging workflows so they can work on higher-value problems and processes? Reach out to our team to start a conversation. 

Key contacts

Anita Lyse

Anita Lyse

Luxembourg

Global Sector Head, Real Assets

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The real state of real estate: deal volume, fundraising, and usage patterns 

After several years of headwinds, a new real estate environment could be upon us. Read about the changes coming in real estate deal volume, fundraising, and usage patterns.


architecture Manhattan building

The real estate sector has endured a volatile 24 months, with real estate operators and investors not only having to manage the impact of higher interest rates on the sector, but also the long-term changes to real estate usage sweeping across the industry following the pandemic.

In the face of these multiple headwinds, global private market deal activity fell 47 percent in 2023, with real estate fundraising falling by almost a third year-on-year.  

As the industry emerges from this period of dislocation, however, the outlook is improving. Interest rate stability will help to bring mainstream buyers and sellers back to market after a year of pausing for breath; while investors with the conviction to pursue deals in a still unpredictable market could be rewarded with bargain valuations. 

Interest rates remain elevated from recent levels, but amidst uncertainty, real estate opportunities are emerging for savvy real estate players. 

In this article, we’ll explore how three key facets will shape these opportunities in the months ahead and drive real estate fundraising and transaction activity. 

Deal volume rebound in the right sectors

Real estate dealmakers stayed cautious and deal volume remained low as we moved into 2024. However, interest rate stability (even in a scenario where anticipated rate cuts are delayed) can help to support a recovery in certain real estate deal markets under the right conditions, such as residential real estate and industrial real estate. As vendors and buyers align on valuations and form a clearer picture on how to price risk and build deal structures, we hope and expect to see the same effects roll out to the broader real estate space alongside these stabilizing interest rates.

While Q1 2024 still saw a 6 percent year-over-year decline in deal volume, as JLL reported, “the pace of declines continued to moderate across the Americas and EMEA, an early signal of growth.” We’ve seen a cluster of high-profile real estate deals progressing this year to support this outlook.

In one of the largest real estate transactions since the pandemic, Abu Dhabi investment fund Lunate and Saudi Arabian firm Olayan Financing Company acquired a 49 percent stake in ICD Brookfield Place, the iconic Dubai office tower. Deal value was undisclosed, but Bloomberg reports that the property has been valued at an estimated US$1.5 billion.

Other notable deals in 2024 include Blackstone selling the Arizona Biltmore Hotel to UK-based real estate manager Henderson Park in a deal reported to be worth US$705 million, and investment manager Ares and landlord RXR forming a joint venture to invest in New York office buildings.

Real estate dealmakers will be cautiously optimistic that an improvement in Q1 2024 real estate transaction activity will carry through into the rest of the year.

Fit for fundraising

As real estate markets reopen, managers will hopefully be in a better position to realize portfolio assets and increase distributions to investors. 

Increasing distributions will in turn put investors in a better position from a cashflow perspective, and more able to recycle distributions into the next vintage of real estate funds. 

Fundraising, however, is likely to continue tracking trends observed in 2023, where the market bifurcated in favor of large real estate platforms or managers running specialized and distinctive strategies. 

Through the headwinds that faced the market in 2023, investors moved to consolidate manager relationships and coalesced around large platforms, enabling large cap real estate managers to continue closing jumbo funds despite the large drop in overall fundraising. According to McKinsey, five managers accounting for well over a third (37 percent) of closed-end real estate fundraising in 2023. 

Large managers are set to continue dominating fundraising, but investors are also looking for exposure to specialist strategies, with analysis from PERE showing that a higher proportion of sector-specific funds are closing or exceeding target sizes than generalist funds. 

Shifting usage patterns

Looking at the challenges facing real estate from an operational perspective, the sector is still grappling with how to adjust to the shifting usage patterns that have reshaped real estate following COVID-19 lockdowns. 

Home working habits have become entrenched following the lockdowns, putting severe pressure on office space valuations, while the ongoing shift to online shopping has had severe impacts on retail space. 

Inflationary pressures, cost of living and supply chain disruption, meanwhile, have made for a choppy logistics market, where demand has slowed and higher vacancy rates have been reported, according to JLL

But while some real estate sub-sectors have suffered severe dislocation, others are thriving.  

The data center market is red hot, with CBRE forecasts showing demand rising to record highs in 2024 as vacancies fall to all-time lows, supporting robust rental rates. Strong demand from large cloud computing service providers serving the market with computing power and data storage at enterprise has shown no sign of slowing down and bodes full for sustained growth in the data center space. 

Other strong performing areas include purpose-built student accommodation, where investors have seen strong operating performance and demand after lockdown restrictions eased and campuses reopened, with demand for life sciences lab space also high, underpinned by advancements in diagnostics, personalized medicine and genetics. 

Shifting usage patterns, however, will also provide opportunities for contrarian investors who have the conviction to lean into sub-sectors deemed “unfashionable” and back assets at attractive valuations. 

Contrarian investment opportunities could include retail and shopping center assets that have survived the last decade and proven their resilience, or Chinese real estate, which has gone through a severe liquidity squeeze but may now be coming out the other side. 

Overall, market dislocation has increased real estate investment risk, but also opened opportunity. 

Take on real estate industry challenges with Alter Domus 

The real estate sector has encountered considerable challenges in the past few years but signs of promise continue to emerge. To make the most of the emerging opportunities and push through the trials, having a trusted partner on your side is essential. 

At Alter Domus, we have decades of experience in weathering the ups and downs of the real estate market and providing essential fund services through challenging times, from fund administration and property accounting, to AIFM services and depositary offerings, and more. 

Reach out to our real estate services team to learn more about how we can help.

Key contacts

Anita Lyse

Anita Lyse

Luxembourg

Global Sector Head, Real Assets

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Navigating retailization’s back-office challenges

Chief Operating Officer, Mike Janiszewski spoke to PEI Fund Services report about the value of outsourcing administrative functions to respond to the increased market demand from individual investors. Get in touch to partner with a proven third-party provider to harness this potential.


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Mike Janiszewski, Chief Operating Officer, spoke to PEI Fund Services report about the value of outsourcing administrative functions to respond to the increased market demand from individual investors. With about half of global assets under management (AUM) held by individuals, private fund managers are keen to tap into this vast potential. Large asset managers, like Blackstone, have ambitious goals for increasing their retail capital offer. However, accommodating individual investors in alternatives, presents significant complexity- complicated structures, dealing with varying regulations, individual tax burdens and increasing back-office administration.

Mike opined that “Taking on investment from private wealth investors will require a step-change in middle- and back-office infrastructure” Private markets have responded to this already and multiple investment structures are being adopted to accommodate the differing needs of individual investors, as well as new distribution channels and digital platforms. At AD, we have been specializing in this for the past 20 years; delivering for our clients via a combination of jurisdictional, technological and administrative expertise.

Ultimately, leveraging technology for automation and data streamlining must come alongside partnership with third-party providers who can harness new tools for great success. Reach out to to find out more.

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How to drive transformative artificial intelligence in fund services

Demetry Zilberg, Chief Technology Officer was interviewed in PDI’s Tech, AI & Fund Services edition​ about the Alter Domus technology journey, as well as artificial intelligence and its impact on private credit. He highlights the importance of managing the gap between hype and practical business applications, prioritizing opportunities and mitigating risks.


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Interview

Q You have recently joined Alter Domus as chief technology officer. What background do you bring to the role, and how is that perspective useful for Alter Domus and its clients?

Most recently, I was a chief technology officer at Wells Fargo bank. Before that I was the CTO of the financial data and software company FactSet, which was my final role there over a 20-year period. In these positions I’ve been in­volved with a vast array of initiatives, from developing mobile capabilities and addressing challenges such as iden­tity protection and fraud prevention to developing and executing artificial in­telligence strategies and implementing generative AI.

Alter Domus is my first experience in a private equity-owned company. The mandate of the senior team here is clear: how do we use technology to make our services more efficient, more intuitive, and more impactful for our clients?

At Alter Domus, my team owns all the technology and app development efforts for the business, as well as the data analytics and engineering and some of the product strategy from a technology perspective. The goal is to help continue to scale an already rap­idly growing business and drive sever­al transformative initiatives, with one area of focus being the data and ana­lytics business, where we see a lot of potential.

Q What is your perspective on AI and its adoption in private markets?

AI has been fundamental to many com­panies and products for a number of years. Companies such as Tesla have been working on self-driving vehicles for more than 10 years, and those are in­herently AI-enabled. So, AI is not new.

What has changed is that last year saw probably one of the most suc­cessful marketing campaigns ever launched when Open AI unveiled its initial version of ChatGPT. We all started talking about generative AI and what ChatGPT would mean for us. Adoption of that tool went from zero to 100 million active users in just two months, making it the fastest growing consumer application in history. That showed the art of the possible with generative AI, and immediately drove that conversation in boardrooms.

Right now, what is important for business is to thoughtfully manage the gap between AI hype and practical business applications. Businesses need to prioritize opportunities in order of obtainability and then manage commu­nications with stakeholders to create meaningful outcomes. Too often, com­panies become focused on what’s new, rather than what’s best, or more to the point in Alter Domus’s case, what’s best for our customers.

Q What steps are service providers like Alter Domus taking in AI?

We believe that before any concrete actions are taken in AI development, governance issues have to be addressed. Protecting both our clients’ data and business at large as well as our own is of the utmost importance.

It’s best practice to have a formal and mature intake process for AI ap­plications and a multidisciplinary panel that considers and prioritizes oppor­tunities for the business, as well as any implementation guardrails and cy­ber-security considerations. That panel should include representatives of tech­nology, business, regulatory compliance and HR. Putting that disciplined collec­tive effort into mitigating risks like data leaks or data breaches is essential.

The other element of this is the technology itself. The way a company like Alter Domus approaches that is with a platform construct. Instead of focusing on underlying infrastructure (such as GPUs), we chose to partner with cloud providers that offer robust ‘out of the box’ solutions that enable us to experiment, validate, and deploy AI solutions with little friction. Leverag­ing our partners that have robust end-to-end services that aggregate versus trained or partially trained algorithms is a smarter method for us.

For example, we have a relationship set up with AWS using some of their services, such as SageMaker and Bed­rock, which deliver pre-packaged plat­forms of large language models. That is central to our strategy because we get immediate access to enhanced technol­ogy and capabilities.

One of the ways we approach AI gov­ernance is to consider use cases in three buckets: ready-made solutions we can buy (such as co-pilots that can be easily integrated into our workspace produc­tivity tools); capabilities and tools, built by Alter Domus, that enhance the effi­cacy of our employees’ service delivery to clients; and AI capabilities embedded into products, delivering sophisticated analytical capabilities and meaningful insights to our clients.

Q Why is private credit a particular area of focus, and what advances are being made there?

We feel the private credit space really lends itself to the last two of those three categories. There are tens of millions of unstructured documents and data sources in private credit, with many in PDF, Excel or even fax format.

We have a product called Digitize that processes 30 million documents, extracting, classifying, and incorporat­ing content into client-facing products. Then it becomes easier to use genera­tive AI and the analysis of that data re­quires less human input, leading to bet­ter outcomes, faster turnaround times and cost savings for clients.

Q Is AI replacing humans in the use cases you see?

I think for the foreseeable future, AI is about creating substantially better tools for humans to use, but we still need hu­mans. Instead of using manual tools to deliver outputs, you can speed up processes and get more reliable results using AI, and that is more rewarding work for the humans involved.

For now, we still need humans to oversee those processes, to check that AI is working properly, which means there is an upskilling opportunity and AI is simply taking away the more mundane elements of tasks. In the longer-term, AI will free our teams to focus on more strategic areas of work.

Q What do you expect to be the most exciting developments in this area in the near future?

We are focused on building out our data and analytics business as a com­prehensive data platform making use of AI capabilities. That will take data from various siloes and make it available in a very secure and compliant way for our clients. We plan to employ AI to enable the data platform to deliver actionable insights and new analytical capabilities for our clients.

The key element in all of this is that you have to ‘feed the machine’: AI needs data to really learn and operate in the most effective way, and we sit on a treasure trove of data. We make cer­tain to prioritize the use cases that will have a beneficial impact on our clients. We want to give them more visibility into their funds than they have ever had before, allowing them to make faster and better formed decisions.

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Codifying best practice

Tim Toska and Emily Ergang Pappas were interviewed in June’s Buyouts Secondaries Report. They outlined how the SEC private fund rules will provide a regulatory framework around GP-led secondaries, ultimately supporting their continued growth.


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Interview

Q To what extent do the SEC’s private fund rules impact the secondaries industry and how have these changes

been received?

Tim Toska: The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s new private fund adviser rules are certainly far reaching and there are significant changes involved. But, as it relates to the secondaries industry, it is the mandatory requirement for a fairness opinion or valuation in every GP-led secondaries deal that is the most directly relevant. There are also new disclosure requirements around material business relationships and activities, which must be formally documented and posted to a portal. In many instances, both are already happening, but the rules mean there is now a regulatory requirement to take these extra steps in what might well be a time sensitive transaction. That can always be a cause for concern. Managers want to be able to proceed with  deals in as frictionless a way as possible. That said, compared to some other aspects of the rules, these provisions are unlikely to keep many awake at night.

Q Could a clearer regulatory framework around GP-led  secondaries be welcomed, particularly when it comes to ensuring LPs are comfortable with these deals?

TT: Absolutely. This is a fast-growing market, and it has been exciting to see GP-led secondaries emerge as a valid avenue for generating liquidity, alongside traditional M&A and IPOs. But there are clearly some inherent conflicts of interest that need to be carefully managed because the last thing anyone wants is for questions to be asked in hindsight, should a deal not turn out as planned. These are not arms length transactions and so they lend themselves to being second guessed. Increasing the regulatory framework helps eliminate any of that doubt and so from the perspective of the ongoing growth and maturity of the sector, I think it is largely to be welcomed.

Emily Ergang Pappas: It also goes long way towards ensuring all investors are in the same situation. Yes, there were many funds that were already including fairness opinions in their deals and going the extra mile in terms of transparency, but now investors in every fund will be afforded that same level of protection from potential conflicts of interest. The codification of best practice means all investors are now in the same boat.

Q What modifications have we seen since the initial rules were proposed and where are we now in terms of when the rules will be enacted?

EEP: We are in a unique position as fund administrators in that these rules don’t technically apply to us, but they will apply to most of our clients and will affect the services we provide. We are therefore keeping a close eye on how things develop. There are a number of lawsuits that are ongoing, and no-one is entirely sure what the timelines are likely to be, but we are certainly paying close attention. I would agree with Tim though that this rule is not as controversial as some of the others. We have been heavily focused on the quarterly statement rule, for example, because there is a lack of clarity there and because it impacts our role as administrators particularly. There have already been some modifications made between the proposed rules and final rules when it comes to secondaries, with greater flexibility to choose between either a fairness opinion or a valuation. Beyond that we are in a wait and watch holding pattern, considering what the eventual outcomes are going to mean for clients.

Q Given the GP-led market’s growth, is it reasonable to expect it will be subject to greater regulatory scrutiny going forward, beyond these specific rules?

EEP: The short answer is yes, absolutely. Anytime something grows in size and popularity to this extent, particularly when it involves readily identifiable conflicts of interest, it is inevitable that the SEC and other regulators around the world are going to want to put some parameters in place to ensure investors are adequately protected.

Q Against this regulatory backdrop, how are you seeing the GP-led secondaries market evolve?

TT: I would say that the GP-led secondaries market has now reached a stage in its maturation journey where it sits side by side with other strategies. Certainly, in terms of deal volumes, GP-leds have been at or about 50 percent of the overall secondaries market for the past few years. In fact, there has been insufficient capital available to meet demand from GPs, who now view this as a viable exit route and means to generate liquidity in an environment where liquidity has been in short supply.

Q Will that growth trajectory continue unabated as and when M&A markets return?

TT: I believe that it will. There will always be reasons for GPs to pursue this type of deal, regardless of what is happening in the broader macroeconomic environment. It is true that a revival in M&A will lessen the need for GPs to turn to continuation vehicles to generate distributions for investors. However, there will always be sectors, or segments of the market, that are facing structural or economic hardships and where secondaries capital is required.

Furthermore, there will always be situations where the timing just isn’t right for a GP to exit, despite the fact it is running up against the limits of a fund’s life. Due to the intense growth in volume and awareness over the past few years, GPs know these GP-led deals are something they will always have in their back pocket.

Q The GP-led market is widely believed to be one of the most undercapitalized corners of private markets. How do you see the buyside evolving going forward?

TT: The secondaries market, and GP-led secondaries in particular, are undercapitalized relative to the supply of transactions in the market. But I don’t necessarily view that as a negative. In fact, in many ways it can be viewed as a positive, because it ensures buyers are able to originate and diligence opportunities in a disciplined manner rather than feeling any pressure to put money to work. Of course, we don’t want to see that undercapitalization continue forever. But it is no bad thing for supply to outpace demand as the asset class matures. That will help ensure everyone concerned has positive experiences, including LPs that decide to roll and the new investors that come in. The more of these win-win situations that we see come to fruition, ultimately leading to successful realizations over time, the better it is for the asset class in the long term.

Key contacts

Tim Toska

Tim Toska

United States

Global Sector Head, Private Equity

Image of Emily Erang Pappas

Emily Ergang Pappas

United States

Head of Legal, North America

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Keynote interview

Leveraging the power of technology

Tim Toska was recently featured in June’s PEI Fund Services Report where he discussed how private equity firms are increasingly turning to tech solutions to support everything from investor onboarding to portfolio management.


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Interview

Q How far has private equity come in terms of its willingness to leverage technology to support middle-and back-office functions?

The industry has certainly come a long way, particularly over the past few years. The ability to leverage technol­ogy to support operations has moved from a nice-to-have to a must-have. A lot of that movement has been driven by investors in terms of the timeliness and granularity of the data that they are demanding, and that has placed an unprecedented emphasis on efficiency. Technology has inevitably been part of the solution, but this isn’t something that investors have foisted onto man­agers. It doesn’t work that way – it is something that needs to be embraced and we have undoubtedly seen a marked shift in managers’ willingness to do just that.

Q How is technology being used in the investor onboarding process?

Onboarding is a fantastic use case for technology because it is an area in which the private markets desperately need to become more efficient. Historically, onboarding has involved a huge amount of back and forth across paper trails, e-mail communication and calls. The ability to digitalise subscription docs and streamline AML and KYC processes using tech tools that weren’t available just a few short years ago, is proving transformative for the industry.

It is also incredible to see how far we have come in terms of LP portal devel­opment within a relatively short period of time. Just 15 years ago – which isn’t all that long ago, in the grand scheme of things – investors were receiving call notices by fax machine or even mail.

These investor portals have greatly improved, and continue to greatly im­prove, communication with LPs, while also creating significant cost and time efficiencies both for the manager and the underlying investor.

Q In light of the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s new private fund rules, how important is technology going to be in meeting regulatory demands?

Reporting requirements are intensify­ing as a result of regulation, including the new SEC rules, but they are inten­sifying in re sponse to investor demands in any case. It is therefore critical to have timely and accurate data at your fingertips as a private equity firm or administrator, which is exceedingly difficult without the use of technology. Technology can help with the sourcing of data and with moving that data across channels, which is what needs to hap­pen with any reporting process. Again, technology has really become a must-have in meeting the additional demands that fund managers face today.

Q What are the foundational steps that firms need to take to maximise the potential of the data that they hold?

Small firms can probably handle data requests and analysis in Microsoft Ex­cel. That becomes increasingly difficult to manage, however, as the business scales. It is therefore crucial that firms have a regimented plan around data from the outset, otherwise things can quickly become complicated, particu­larly when it comes to establishing a single source of truth.

Back-office teams, investment teams and marketing teams, for example, may hold different data sets that can often overlap. That data needs to be aggre­gated, normalised and validated until everyone is confident that the data they are accessing is based on the most accu­rate and up-to-date information. Only then can firms consider moving on to the next step of gleaning accurate and meaningful insights from the data and automating processes.

Q To what extent are private equity firms leveraging automation tools and data analytics today and what are the most interesting use cases?

At the highest possible level, there are three areas where private equity is exploring the use of automation: op­erations, portfolio management and investment decision-making. It is in the operational arena that we first saw many of these automation tools come into play. Any time you are dealing with a recurring process, such as an invoice payment, for example, that is a task that can be streamlined through automation.

Communication with portfolio companies, meanwhile, is another tan­gible use case for automation. Manag­ers require businesses to provide reg­ular updates on financial performance that are then fed into a data model up­stream. Automation can really help in processing that information, regardless of the format in which it arrives. There are tools that can be used to standardise the different balance sheet and income statements coming from portfolio com­panies, allowing the firm to compare apples with apples and to feed the data into valuation models. In some cases, this data is coming from hundreds of different portfolio companies and so the ability to process and standardise it without manual inputting is clearly a massive efficiency gain. Teams that would have acted as data aggregators are instead able to spend more time re­viewing and analysing the output.

By contrast, we are still in the ear­liest possible stages when it comes to automating investment decision-mak­ing processes. The focus for GPs right now is very much centred on creating a single source of truth, then employing automation tools to pull the relevant data so that humans can make decisions based on the best possible information.

Q What are the next steps for private equity when it comes to tech adoption?

What is most important is that we have now reached a stage where there is near-universal recognition of the im­portance of tech adoption. Just a few years ago, not everyone was necessar­ily sold on its benefits and tech adop­tion certainly wasn’t always viewed as the priority. That situation has flipped entirely. Of course, different firms are at different stages of that journey, but thanks to the now ubiquitous coverage of the benefits of automation in the mainstream media, we have got over the most significant hurdle, which is the willingness to embrace what tech­nology has to offer.

It is important to recognize that no one is trying to get to a point where automation software is being used to identify an investment target, carry out due diligence and then spit out a yes or no answer as to whether or not the firm should proceed with that deal. No one is looking to go to those extremes. Instead, firms are experimenting with using technology to identify market trends and carry out sensitivity analy­sis, and then build in the human judge­ment that sets them apart. The use of technology in private equity has never been about replacing people. Instead, it has been about maximizing the poten­tial of that human resource.

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Analysis

Private credit markets offer meaningful benefits that can outweigh related risks

Key features of the private credit markets can mitigate risk while offering investors and borrowers a valuable alternative.


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Overview

Amongst the alternative investment universe, private credit[i], specifically loans to corporate borrowers made by non-bank lenders, has garnered significant media attention – seemingly in the headlines on a daily occurrence.

The growth of the private credit markets has introduced new participants to this asset class while raising capital for new funds, acting as an efficient intermediary between prospective borrowers seeking more efficient funding and investors seeking more favorable risk/return characteristics.


PCMS Chart
Source: https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/banks-private-credit-debt-2024

However, the attention the private credit market has attracted has been varied. Many recognize the benefits that the private credit market provides for fueling economic growth while offering borrowers alternatives to greater diversified sources of funding.

On the other hand, some have raised concerns referring to its immense growth as an asset ‘bubble’ and/or potentially introducing systemic risk to the financial markets. They have pointed to, as examples, the opaqueness of the private credit markets and  limited regulatory oversight.

Still, there are aspects of the private credit markets that are transparent and regulated, and there are features of this market that mitigate some of the concerns often cited by market observers.

Furthermore, the notion that ‘bubbles’ are countered with regulation or that ‘bubbles’ follow just ‘opaque markets’ is somewhat inconsistent with what has been historically observed from some of the most transparent and regulated markets in the world (e.g., the various ‘bubbles’ that have occurred in public credit and equity markets and of course some of the stress associated with regulated banks and other regulated institutions such as money market mutual funds).

In this paper we offer some perspective on the private credit market drawing attention to, as examples, certain key elements that market participants could take into consideration during their general risk assessment of the industry. These topics as well as others, including the nature of the individual credits and the lenders’ expertise, are all worthy of their own individual attention.

Private credit as a valuable alternative

Private credit markets have been growing for well over a decade post the Great Recession. That growth has been further highlighted since the US bank crisis in early 2023. The failure of several prominent regional banks that required FDIC intervention has been one of the catalysts that has most recently led to greater regulatory scrutiny across the banking sector.

As a result, banks have tightened their credit standards leading to relatively curbed lending activity. Regulatory pressures will continue to place pressure on banks and their loan portfolios. Recent stress on some regional banks in early 2024 has reinforced this perspective.

Corporate borrowers have in turn increased their reliance on the private credit markets as an alternative source of funding, and non-bank lenders have continued to fill in the void left by banks – a “de-banking” phenomenon, as one market participant put it. What was once an area of the market confined to leveraged loans to small and mid-size corporate borrowers has increasingly financed larger sizes of loan issuances as well as those considered to be investment grade.

We believe that the market evolution has fostered a steadier environment characterized by longer-term oriented investors with fewer liquidity constraints than banks, thus better aligning supply and demand. A good example of which is when the market is faced with too many borrowers looking to rollover (or refinance) their loans (i.e., ‘maturity walls’) and with not enough liquidity available.

The private credit markets satisfy significant investor appetite for its risk/return characteristics as they offer comparably equity-like returns with significant credit spreads versus other fixed income investments.

This generous return profile is especially so since most loans are floating rate where its base rate (e.g., SOFR) has followed the Federal Reserve’s fund rate increases. The enhanced returns aim to not only appropriately compensate the lender (and investors) for the credit risk of the loan (i.e., reflecting degree of leverage, seniority, etc.), but also for the illiquidity of the loan.

Furthermore, investment returns may include incremental premia for the borrower’s prepayment optionality as well as fees associated with the loan facilities. Since the investor base is typically long-term focused, they can realize these additional premiums.

Transparency – Are these markets really “opaque”?

Market participants could access significant amounts of data on the performance of private credit portfolios. These data could be used as reasonable proxies to assess or ‘check’ lender performance in those instances where detailed data may be limited or not readily observable. Here are some key examples:

  • Banks and credit unions post quarterly data on the performance of their loan portfolios (e.g., commercial & industrial – ‘C&I’, real estate, consumer). This allows market observers to conduct their own assessment of credit performance (losses and allowances) for almost 10,000 institutions on a quarterly basis with significant historical information. Estimates of the private credit markets, excluding banks, are in the area of $1.7trillion. The three largest US banks alone have about $1.4trillion in C&I loans, a good proxy for private credit performance, whereas all the banks in the US have close to three times this amount.  
  • Business Development Companies (BDCs) that are regulated report their financial information generally on a quarterly basis, consistent with SEC reporting requirements. These reports include detailed information across their portfolio holdings, with estimated valuations and income earned on these portfolios. The total BDC market is approaching $300bln where roughly half of the market is publicly traded.
  • Leverage loan funds (e.g., open-ended funds, closed-ended funds, ETFs) also report detailed information on a quarterly basis regarding their portfolio holdings, with valuations and income earned on their investments and are consistent with reporting requirements that are guided by SEC rules and regulations.

Reduced Pressure for ‘Fire’ Sale

Bank lending is often financed with deposits, a source of funding that could be volatile depending on human behavior. Several banks in early 2023 experienced a ‘run’ on their deposits which imposed significant pressure on their funding needs while many of their assets were ‘locked’ into longer-term loans.

The private credit markets, on the other hand, are typically funded with more stable and longer-term funding. For example, private credit investment vehicles can have access to a fixed liability profile (e.g., direct lending fund, CLOs, BDCs, closed-end funds) or one that is highly predictable (e.g., life insurance, pension) along with semi-permanent capital.

The better match between funding sources and underlying loans provides a significant cushion to private credit investors and acts as a ballast against a liquidity crunch. Importantly, this longer-term match allows investors to potentially reap the excess returns associated with illiquidity and other premia that are attached to private debt investments.

Active Portfolio Management – ‘Skin-in-the-game’

Banks may have millions of loans across various segments (e.g., Commercial Real Estate – ‘CRE’, C&I, residential real estate, consumer, etc.) whereas private credit lenders will tend to have tens or hundreds (in a few cases maybe more but that is not common) of loan issuers, primarily C&I-related.

Private credit managers will typically invest in fewer companies but will invest significantly in knowing those companies and related industries very well. This active management and expertise allows private credit managers to be more focused and proactive in preserving value for their investors.

As we have noted earlier, private credit managers tend to have a longer-term investment horizon and a general tendency to invest in companies where they have an in-depth understanding of the borrowers and related industries. Furthermore, in times of distress, private credit managers will often have less pressure to offload investments since these managers are in the business of lending and working through any stress in underlying credits. In many instances, the managers may have significant relationships with the private equity sponsor.

Banks, on the other hand, often have competing interests including regulatory pressures to ‘clean their balance sheet’, which often means a tendency to sell and offload stressed credits at inopportune times with lower prices. Ironically, the sales are sometimes made to private credit investors who have more stable funding to reap the long-term value of these stressed credits. Another somewhat similar example can occur in the active BSL secondary market where there are often many parties participating in a BSL entering at varying price points and with possibly different investment strategies (e.g., distressed, special situation).     

It is worth noting that some active private credit investors are subject to regulation (e.g., insurance companies and pension funds to some extent). However, the regulatory pressure for these investors to sell investments in times of stress may not be as pronounced as it is with banks, which are often funded with short-term deposits.

Private Credit offers relatively high returns, but with associated risks. Mitigants to risk include:

  • Asset-liability matching – longer-term investor base with fewer liquidity constraints.
  • Sophisticated investors with significant interest in risk/return and diversification characteristics.
  • Ample data to assess market performance.
  • Experienced, focused, and active managers – understand companies and industries well.
  • Excess spreads and fees to compensate for risks.

A Diversified Market

Unlike large liquid markets such as BSL, mortgage-backed securities, agency mortgages, and equity markets, the private credit market is characterized by small companies issuing debt to a limited (and often small) number of creditors.

Thus, issuer concentration risk is to some degree mitigated in the private credit markets. We have also shown in previous research that there exists some diversification across industries (and possibly investment strategies) in the private credit market, mitigating some type of ‘systemic’ event.

When these features are combined with the close watchful eye of seasoned asset managers and more stable funding sources, as discussed above, the risk can be further reduced.

However, there are at least two areas of potential systemic risk worth noting – correlation with the broader (potentially global) economy as a whole and any risk related to looser underwriting processes paired with poor risk management applications by the asset managers.

Both risks apply regardless of the asset class in question – whether it is private credit, actively traded high-yield bonds or the most liquid agency mortgage-backed securities. There is no substitute for prudent underwriting processes and disciplined risk management.

Conclusion

The private credit market, senior secured loans in particular, is a significant element within the alternative investment universe, displayed by its immense growth in recent years. This market  has contributed to the overall economy providing corporate borrowers an alternative to banks with more diversified source of funding.

This is especially important in times when it is most needed and is a sign of a dynamic market where supply/demand imbalances are filled with market solutions that may be more efficient by better aligning risk/return characteristics.

As the private credit market has grown, it has attracted significant attention from the media and other market participants across the capital markets. Though many rightfully give credit to the economic benefits the private credit market provides to both borrowers and investors, the rapid growth of this market has also raised concerns from some that are wary of the size and growth of this asset class.

Risk-return tradeoffs are a constant in all financial markets, and it is no different with the private credit markets. The overall benefits that the private credit markets provide may significantly be more than enough to offset any potential risks that may reside.

The private credit markets, which offer relatively high returns, already feature various mitigants to some of the identified risks. For example, certain levels of transparency, various regulatory oversight, asset-management focus and expertise, and more effective asset-liability matching. It is also worth noting that a number of these identified risks also exist in the public capital markets to varying degrees.

[i] Note: that we make a distinction here between the private credit market and the Broadly Syndicated Loan (BSL) market (see our previous research here on key differences between them).

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Analysis

Navigating the challenges of today’s private equity environment

In a four-part series Alter Domus will explore the main challenges facing US private equity managers in a constantly evolving marketplace and outline how partnering with a responsive fund services provider can help mid-market teams to adapt to a changing landscape and meet the rising tide of compliance and regulatory demands without compromising focus on the core business of sourcing deals and delivering returns. 


Article 4: Rising Regulation

In the last of a four-part series exploring the the main challenges facing US private equity players in a constantly evolving marketplace, Alter Domus looks at how working alongside fund services partners can help managers to stay on top of these additional regulatory demands.

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The private capital industry has undergone a period of remarkable expansion during the last decade, with assets under management growing at a compound annual growth rate of 14 percent in the ten years between 2013 and 2023 to reach US$14.5 trillion.

As more capital has flowed into private markets, regulatory scrutiny of the asset class has inevitably followed (particularly given the industry’s focus on growing its non-institutional investor base), culminating with the US Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) adopting new rules in 2023 to strengthen regulatory oversight of private funds managers.

The rules, which run to more than 600 pages of text, represent the most significant overhaul private markets regulation in the US since the 2008 global financial crisis, and will place significant additional disclosure and reporting costs on managers.

The rules are only set to come into force beginning in September 2024, and a group of private markets managers have mounted a legal challenge against the SEC rules, which if successful could oblige the SEC to review its plans.

But as things stand some of the main reporting and disclosure requirements the industry will have to be ready for include:

1. Mandatory Quarterly Reporting

With the aim of improving transparency, the SEC will require registered private fund advisers to provide quarterly statements to investors with detailed information on fund fees, expenses and performance.

2. Annual financial statements and audit

The new rules will also require private fund advisers to produce and distribute and annual financial statement and audit for each private fund they advise.

3. Fairness opinions on GP-led deals

Managers undertaking GP-led secondaries transactions will be required to obtain independent, third-party fairness opinions on deal valuations.

4. Preferential treatment

The new rules will also prevent private fund advisers from providing any investors with preferential treatment regarding redemptions and information that would have a negative impact on other investors.

In all other case of preferential treatment, the SEC has adopted a “disclosure-based exception to the proposed prohibition”, that will include “a requirement to provide certain specified disclosure regarding preferential terms to all current and prospective investors”.

This could have serious implications for the use of side letters (which grant specific rights to certain investors), which have become more and more prevalent across the industry.

5. Restricted activities

The rules will also restrict any activity that is against the public interest or compromises the protection of investors, and private fund advisers will not be allowed to charge investigation costs to funds when sanctioned for violation of the Investment Advisers Act.

Counting the cost

Compliance with the new rules is expected to be costly, with managers not only having to produce additional reporting and disclosure, but also track potentially hundreds of side letters and make disclosures on these side letters to all other investors.

The FT reports that as part of its rulemaking process the SEC estimated that meeting the annual audit statement and quarterly reporting requirements could cost the asset class up to US$961 million a year, with rules and disclosure around fee costs and preferential treatment a further US$938 million of costs.

Implementation will be complicated even for large managers that already have sizeable back-office infrastructure in place. For smaller players the investment in additional general counsel, compliance and reporting resource the poses an even bigger challenge.

Help at hand

Managers, however, do not have to shoulder additional reporting and disclosure requirements alone, and can turn fund servicing partners with the size, experience and technology to handle additional regulatory obligations efficiently and cost-effectively.

Alter Domus, for example, has a range of technology, AI and automation tools at its disposal to help clients meet their obligations without incurring significantly higher costs or having to divert investment from the front office functions to bulk out the back-office.

Managers and funds will already have much of the data regulators are asking for to hand. The help of a partner that understands what data is required, how to collate it and structure the data into a coherent format can remove much of the heavy lifting and the pain points that managers would face if operating in isolation.

Alter Domus is already building out a new service offering to support clients on the regulatory front, which will be available to market before the new SEC rules come into force.

The fact that Alter Domus can service hundreds of clients through its platform – as a opposed to one manager having to build all this capability in-house just to service its own funds – also allows it to leverage its infrastructure at scale and materially bring down regulatory compliance costs for its clients.

Alter Domus also has significant experience operating in other jurisdictions, such as Europe, where regulatory regimes for private markets have been more demand, and is well versed in servicing complex fund structures – an especially valuable skill set when it comes to tracking and coordinating any preferential disclosure requirements that may be required.

The new SEC rules undoubtedly represent a step change in regulatory load managers have to carry. Partnering with a responsive fund services provider, who has a birds-eye view of the industry, can help teams to meet the rising tide of compliance and regulatory demands without compromising their focus on the core business of sourcing deals and delivering returns.


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Article 3: Fit for fundraising

Investment returns will always be the primary focus for LPs when choosing which managers to allocate capital to, but as the private markets industry matures, and manager selection becomes more sophisticated, operational infrastructure and organizational resilience have become key factors in investor decision-making.

In a survey of more than 110 institutional investors for its most recent LP Perspectives report, Private Equity International (PEI) found that 87 percent of respondents cited GP team size and investment capacity as a significant factor in the manager selection, aside from track record.

Track record is still paramount, but LPs are not banking on the returns of a manager’s most recent fund as the only predictor of sustainable, long-term performance. Investors have recognized that how a manager functions operationally and the returns it is able generate are not mutually exclusive.

Indeed, a robust back-office provides dealmakers with the tools to run a successful front-office, especially as data analytics and AI become important differentiators when it comes to deal origination and execution. Deal processes are more competitive than ever, and speed of execution relies on dealmakers having back-office and operational support in place to collate deal intelligence, data, research and deal pipeline information and make it readily available.

Sound operational infrastructure also signals a manager’s future trajectory. How well-equipped is a manager’s operational model to cope with a scale-up in team numbers, funds and strategies and assets under management?

The operational robustness of a firm is also crucial for LPs that want to mitigate downside risk and build comfort around a manager’s processes for client onboarding, cyber security, cash management, fund accounting and investor reporting.

Having the best technology and back-office infrastructure will not secure LP support in isolation, but without it, managers will find it increasingly difficult to gain traction with LPs – even when returns are strong.

Meeting the operational challenge

Keeping pace with the increasing focus from investors on operations and back-office poses a unique set of challenges for smaller managers

For a large manager operating at scale, investment in back-office teams and technology represents a smaller percentage of assets under management (AUM) than it does for a smaller firm. Large managers executing a higher volume of deals across multi-fund platforms can also run a higher volume of transactions through their back-office channels, justifying the investment in the back-office.

Smaller managers, however, do not have to make huge upfront capital expenditure into order to upgrade operational infrastructure and meet LP “table stakes” for fundraising.

Working with a fund administration partner that is already operating at scale and investing in technology and people consistently can provide managers with best-in-class operational support at competitive rates. Fund services specialists have much large global footprints, that are more cost-effective and enable managers to benchmark fund costs

LPs will be familiar with leading fund services providers and will already have diligenced and built comfort around the capabilities of these providers.

Fund services providers will also have experienced teams in place that understand investors demands and requirements and help managers to meet these requirements and lock in investor support.

This experience is supported proprietary technology designed to address investor demands. Alter Domus’ Investor Portal, CorPro, for example, is built to assist investors with everything from onboarding through to fund reporting and fielding bespoke information requests. Alter Domus’ Digital Workflows Application, which harnesses automation and AI technology to enhance transparency and operational efficiency across the private equity fund administration process, offers new levels of digitized data accuracy, positively impacting the investor reporting process.

Choosing the right operational model

A fund services partner can also provide valuable counsel on how to build a model that is the right fit for a manager’s requirements, and put the infrastructure in place to support a firm operationally for the long-term.

Alter Domus advises managers on how to up-tier operational models that are pressing against their limits and how to put structures in place that will give LPs the necessary comfort in fundraising processes and due diligence.

Whether that involves outsourcing or a co-sourced model, creating a bespoke operational backbone that addresses each firm’s individual requirements, and that can be scaled to match growth, covers the bases with respect to what LPs want to see from a manager operationally.

Partnering with an established fund services provider allows managers to back up solid returns performance with a best-in-class back-office capability that can support future growth, reduce downside risk exposure and meet LP due diligence requirements.



Article 2: Staying on top of technology

In the second of a four-part series exploring the main challenges facing US private equity houses in a constantly evolving marketplace, we outline how outsourcing partners can provide best-in-class software know-how at affordable price points.

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The technology infrastructure required to run a private markets firm a decade ago couldn’t be more different to what is expected in the current market.

General partners used to be able to run their organizations using a basic accounting software package, spreadsheets and email and focus resources and time on the core front-office functions of sourcing and exiting investments.

As the private markets industry has expanded, the operational demands facing managers have ratcheted up. Deal and fund structures have become more complex (see Part 1) and investor and regulatory reporting expectations have increased.

As a now mature industry responsible for managing significantly higher volumes of investor dollars than a decade ago, managers have had to reappraise their operational backbone and investment in back-office capability.

Technology has served as a key enabler for helping managers to address the profound shifts in expectations around how they run their businesses, but the implementation of new technology, systems and processes comes with significant upfront capital expenditure and ongoing maintenance costs.

For large-cap firms managing vast, multi-strategy platforms, size makes it possible to keep the required technology expenditure as proportion of a manager’s total expense ratio in check. For managers with a much smaller family of funds to manage, keeping technology expenditure in check can be incredibly challenge.

Partners providing support

Working with a fund servicing partner provides a pathway for managers to make the necessary investment in technology infrastructure without allowing capital expenditure on technology to drain resources from a firm’s core competencies of dealmaking and portfolio company.

A fund services provider with a global footprint, managing thousands of funds on behalf of clients, can build and maintain in a technology platform of the scale that would be impossible for a single manager to match.

Scale and operational synergies put fund servicing providers in a position to provide a combination of best-of-breed industry software and proprietary tools at cost-effective rates that can be benchmarked against the wider market.

Alter Domus, for example, works daily with all the marketing-leading private markets software suites – FIS Private Markets (Investran); Allvue, eFront and Yardi – and

can also overlay best-of-breed software with proprietary technology that wouldn’t be feasible for single managers to build in isolation.

The 3rd generation of fund operations

With private equity now a mature, fully-fledged part of the financial

firmament, and volumes of funds and data exponentially rising, only the enhanced use of technology, such as Alter Domus Digital Workflows Application for private equity, can sustain and support AUM growth

Purpose built from private equity, these workflows are designed to handle the data volume and complexity of both classically structured and secondaries funds. They harness automation and AI to build a “digital bridge” between client and fund administrator, and therefore create a collaborative, non-siloed approach to working. to manage the growth and complexity of their portfolios.  

This technology heralds the arrival of the 3rd age of fund administration and has helped our clients improve operational efficiency and transparency across their portfolios, end reliance on outdated communication channels and collate data into an analysis-ready source of truth.  

Learn more about our Digital Workflows Application for private equity here.


High interest rates and market volatility have put the brakes on private equity exit activity during the last 12 months, with serious consequences for investor distributions and fundraising.

US exit deal value dropped to the lowest levels the first COVID-19 lockdowns in 2023, with year-on-year deal value falling by more than 50 percent to US$174.98 billion according to Dealogic data compiled by White & Case.

Exit value has suffered similar large declines in other global markets, which has seen the bank of unexited companies sitting in portfolios swell to more than $3 trillion, the highest levels on record, according to Bain & Co.

There are hopes that as the interest rate outlook stabilizes and buyers and sellers form a consensus on valuations that traditional exit routes will spark back to life, but there is widespread acceptance across the industry that managers will have to also work other exit channels – including GP-led continuation fund deals and distributions funded by NAV loan facilities – to clear the exit backlog.

New sources of liquidity

For managers with solid portfolios, there is strong appetite from both secondaries managers funding continuation fund deals and lenders offering NAV facilities to provide liquidity options.

GP-led continuation funds have created new pathways for managers and investors to monetize assets, realign portfolios and hold onto prized portfolio companies at the same time as making distributions.

GP-led secondaries have undergone an explosive period of growth, and although GP-led activity slowed in 2023, the GP-led market is still multiples larger than it was just a few years ago.

After a volatile year in M&A and IPO markets, which limited the scope for managers to secure exits and return cash to investors, the GP-led continuation fund deal market is expected to play a crucial role in helping firms to give investors liquidity and kickstart future fundraisings.

Continuation fund deals have had some exposure to the valuation disconnects between buyers and sellers in M&A markets during the last year, but drops in continuation fund transaction activity have been much narrower than observed in M&A and IPO settings, according to figures from Jefferies.

Managers have also increasingly turned to NAV financing – loans secured against the funds private equity firms manage – to inject liquidity into portfolio companies or, in some cases, make dividends to investors.

The use of NAV financing has not been without controversy, but with managers having to extend hold periods for longer than planned, capital made available through NAV loans has provided a welcome line of liquidity to keep funding portfolios and deliver some cash back to LPs.

Alternative exits: a back-office challenge

For managers with smaller back-offices than their large cap peers, these various alternative liquidity options have presented particular operational challenges.

A continuation fund deal, for example, will require substantial back-office resource to organise and execute, with ongoing administration and reporting to the investors in the new vehicle required post-deal. Putting an NAV-loan facility in place also requires back-office back-up.

For large private markets platforms with big back-office teams behind them these additional requirements can be absorbed by existing; but for smaller organisations scaling up back-office resource to accommodate a higher volumes of continuation fund and NAV financing deals is incredibly challenging and resource consumptive.

Working with an outsourcing or co-sourcing partner can help managers to handle the increasing reporting and administrative demands that come with continuation funds and NAV-facilities.

Fund administration partners will already be operating fund accounting systems and operational infrastructure at scale, and therefore be in a position to ramp up services for continuation fund and NAV loans as required.

Fund administrators also have the scale to invest in best-of-breed alternative assets software, and to supplement these platforms with proprietary tools and technology to help managers to handle the additional complexity and workloads.

Alter Domus’ Digital Workflows Application, for example, uses automation and artificial intelligence to collate data from multiple sources into a single stream ready for analysis; facilitating seamless workflows between managers and fund administrators to improve back-office efficiency.

Managers undertaking a continuation fund deal or NAV financing for the first time can also lean on the sector expertise of fund administration partners. Alter Domus, for example, works with multiple secondaries managers across its broad secondaries portfolio and is positioned to provide managers with first-hand experience and advice on what to expect from LPs and secondaries investors in continuation fund structures.

Utilizing alternative exit routes can be a daunting process for managers, but not something that they have to undertake alone.

Alter Domus is trusted by 90% of the top PE firms for our multi-sector expertise, award-winning technology and bespoke operating models. Find out how we can help you gain the upper hand in private equity.


Key contacts

Tim Toska

Tim Toska

United States

Global Sector Head, Private Equity

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Analysis

Private capital’s technology tipping point


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Corporate history is littered with examples of companies that dominated their industries for decades but neglected embrace technology and innovation and paid the price.

There are some very well-known examples: The now defunct video giant Blockbuster passed on Netflix, the once unprofitable start-up DVD postal-renting service with a current market capitalization of close to US$270 billion. Netflix disrupted its own model and utilized internet technology to produce on-demand content.

Kodak, who filed for bankruptcy in 2012, developed the first digital camera back in 1975. It was reluctant to reposition the business towards digital given the high amount of investment required and was swept aside amid the development of smart phones, tablets, and the global embrace of digital photography.

Regarding smart phones, Nokia sowed the seeds of its own decline by not recognizing that app-based software would form the basis of the mobile phone’s future. There is clear causal relationship between its focus on physical devices and its fall of market share from 51% to 5%.

Slightly closer to home for private markets is the ongoing battle for digital supremacy in the global banking sphere. The rise of so-called ‘challenger-banks’, who offer streamlined, digital-first retail banking services, has undoubtedly disrupted the industry.

The vast majority of incumbent, traditional banks – both global and regional – were incredibly slow to adapt to digital models for their consumer servicers. With legacy IT applications prevailing and technical debt building up, banks lack of clear-sighted strategy to deal with both digital transformation and changing user needs and expectation was evident at the tail end of the last decade.

It is of course incredibly unlikely that digital players such as Atom Bank, Tandem, Monzo, and Starling Bank, Revolut will replace traditional banking players. The size of wallet-share and financial resources incumbent players have is vast compared to that of the challenger banks.

However, what it has done is rapidly accelerate the digitization of these institutions in efforts to ensure account balances, reduced cost-to-income ratios, higher customer acquisition and retention either stabilize or grow. From transforming their operational technology infrastructure to building customer-centric apps, banks have had to follow where more-nimble and agile ‘new-banks’ have trod.

Indeed, challenger banks development of seamless user experiences, quick and easy account registrations have all been aped in the broader market. No banking app would be trusted without the enhanced security measures pioneered by digital first entities, and the integration with third party applications is a trend that’s set to continue across all modern platforms.

As digital services take an ever firmer grip over financial institutions’ product suites, how customer data is managed and how customer needs are need met with that technology will undoubtedly determine which banks take a greater share of future customer dollars.

What can private capital learn?

Private capital is now facing a similar technology tipping point which has the potential to reshape the long-term make-up of the market. Managers that take on the opportunities provided by cloud computing, data analytics, automation and AI will thrive. Managers that wait too long will fall by the wayside.

There are multiple areas where technology is transforming how private markets managers run their businesses:

1. Data management and investor reporting

Global private capital assets under management (AUM) climbed to US$14.5 trillion in 2023, according to Bain & Co, more than triple the levels from a decade earlier in 2013.

The rapid growth in AUM has meant more funds, more transactions and higher reporting expectations from investors who now have a much bigger exposure to alternatives to manage. With more capital at work in private markets, investors are demanding more bespoke, granular data and more frequent reporting on portfolio performance.

This demands that managers upgrade their reporting infrastructure, and technology is a key enabler of this.

Private equity’s roots lie in small, nimble teams of dealmakers with low overheads and small back-office teams. As the industry has grown, however, managers have had to invest more in back-office support to keep up with investor expectations.

Firms that move early to harness technology, outsource or co-source back-office functions, invest in cloud-enabled infrastructure overlaid with best-in-breed fund accounting technology will pull ahead of their peers. Factor in utilizing data warehousing and taking advantage of advanced data analytics and the gap will widen further still between those who have and haven’t transformed their business. 

2. Rising regulation

Growth in AUM has also led to a rise in regulatory scrutiny and step-change in regulatory reporting, compliance and disclosure.

Alongside higher expectations around investor reporting, closer regulation has placed additional pressure on manager operating and finance models.

A failure to take advantage of the technology available in the market to drive back-office efficiency and keep compliance costs in control will lead to managers having to spend more senior resource and time on regulation and compliance and less in the core business of sourcing, managing and exiting assets for the best returns.

3. Tech-enablement of the front office

AI, automation and predicative analytics are also transforming how front office functions work, with firms utilizing these tools to free accelerate deal origination and free up dealmakers to spend more time on the high-value tasks of building relationships with deal targets and running negotiations.

First-mover in the industry already have AI-enabled platforms in place that allow deal teams to expedite deal selection, benchmark valuations, monitor sector trends and combine third-party and inhouse data into a single data repository that can be mined to assess deal opportunities and get dealmakers up to speed on new deals at pace.

Managers harnessing these tools report significant benefits, with some claiming that technology has helped them to identify deal targets as much as a year before peers and achieve superior deal conversion ratios.

4. New fund structures and a broader array of investors

Private markets have a growing history of innovation where it comes to developing new ways of organizing and attracting investment. One such example is the recent momentum behind ‘Open ended’ funds (OEF), which have given retail investors an access point to alternative markets.

While this ‘democratization’ is a positive, standing up and managing an OEF is rife with complexities: from more investors and more redemption requests to a huge increase in producing accurate NAV calculations, the management of these funds can be challenging. The right technology is key to the success of these vehicles.

At the other end of the wealth spectrum, the appetite for High Net Worth Individuals (HNWI) to dip their toes into alternative waters has also grown, no doubt spurred on by the above average returns of private markets investment and an opportunity to diversify their portfolios.

Indeed, Boston Consulting Group estimate that by 2025, HNWI in private equity alone will rise to a staggering $1.2 trillion. Each HNWI’s needs may differ wildly in terms of data requirements and reporting. Meeting their needs will not be done effectively with legacy tools and systems.

The right partner, armed with the right technology

Managers do not have to undertake this transformation of their business structures alone, tech-enabled service providers such as Alter Domus have the tools and experience to support managers through this technological inflection point.

As trusted partner to hundreds of managers, Alter Domus has developed deep, lived experience of what is required to upgrade technology and operational infrastructure in practice.

The administration and fund accounting infrastructure that would have been perfectly adequate to manage a private equity fund 15-years ago is now no longer fit for purpose. Best-in-class technology and digitally powered fund operations have become essential for private market stakeholders.

Alter Domus’ Digital Workflows Application was developed as a response to the market need for a transformative technology. Workflows is designed to handle the volume and complexity of private equity funds and builds a “digital bridge” between client and fund administrator. Clients are already reaping the benefits of this market leading capability; as our partners at leading asset management house, Coller, have commented:

Alter Domus Digital Workflows application has significantly improved our fund administration experience. Its utilization of automation and AI, combined with digital access to each part of the process is enhancing our transparency, operational efficiency, and data accuracy

Coller Capital

As well as the enhanced transparency across our clients’ fund portfolio, Workflows ends the reliance on outdated communication channels such as email and phone calls and turns data into an analysis-ready single source of truth.

At Alter Domus we understand that the investment required to keep pace with technology and innovation, coupled with the risk of disruption to process that have underpinned success for decades can be daunting. However, the consequences of not acting are far more severe. Alter Domus is here to aid and support our clients in taking those next, transformative digital steps.

Key contacts

Demetry Zilberg

United States

Chief Technology Officer

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